Estimated vs measured
Multi-touch attribution estimates incrementality by modelling user paths. The estimate is sensitive to attribution windows, click-ID coverage, and platform reporting changes. A holdout experiment measures incrementality directly.
Why operators care
A campaign with 5x reported ROAS and 10% incrementality is a money-loser. A campaign with 1.5x reported ROAS and 80% incrementality is paying its way. Without the incrementality number, the optimisation conversation is guesswork.
How Ripplux runs it
Conversion Lift on Meta, geo or audience holdouts on Google. The platform splits the audience; we read the order data from Shopify; we compute the lift.